|
By Rob Ficiur
This week the president of the International Ice Hockey Federation Rene Fisel flaty rejected any idea of the NHL expanding into Europe. He said “This is our territory and I will fight like hell to not allow anybody to come from abroad." As soon as someone declares something impossible, then we have to wonder if this impossible deal might really happen. Will the NHL one day expand into Europe?
YES – In 1970 virtually all NHL players on the 12 teams were from Canada and the United States. Through the years stars from Sweden and Finland started coming over to play. With the fall of communism, the best players in Russia, Czech and Slovakia are now NHL stars. The game has become so international that the next logical step is to have teams across the Atlantic.
NO – The NHL leaders of today are set on keeping with tradition. Tradition does not allow them to modify rules such as no touch icing to prevent injuries. Expanding to Europe would be a huge shift in the way the league operates, many leaders of today don’t want that change.
YES – Since the fall of communism the NHL has had nearly universal access to the best hockey talent in the world. However since the new Kontinental Hockey League (Russia’s elite hockey league) began playing in 2008 many elite stars have chosen to play in Russia. It was one thing when an aging Jarimir Jagr went to play across the pond. If the KHL was only signing over the hill veterans, the NHL would have nothing to worry about. However in the last two off seasons, NHL teams have lost rising players such as Alexander Radulov, who chose to ignore their NHL contract and move home. Veteran NHL players such as Evgeni Nabokov and Maxim Afinogenov could have got NHL contracts but chose to play in the KHL. This summer as the New Jersey Devils tried to negotiate a deal with Ilya Kovalchuk, the KHL was in the background offering the same amount of money for the sniper to play in their league.
Eventually the KHL is going to get contracts from elite North American players play in their league. Just like the WHA got their start by signing Bobby Hull, the KHL will take on new credibility when North Americans jump over there to play. When that happens the NHL will have to find a creative way to include Europe in their league.
NO – The travel costs and toll on players would be too high. This would be true if you played the London (England) Tigers on Thursday flew across the ocean and played the Montreal Canadiens in Montreal on Saturday. However, common sense can make the travel schedule manageable. For example in the new NHL the Toronto Maple Leafs would make one European road trip a year. They could play six or eight games in that two week period and then fly back. This is not much more travel than the NHL’s west coast teams already do.
In 1967 when the NHL expanded from six to twelve teams, most travel was done by train. With the NHL across all of North American train travel would be impossible. In like manner, cross Atlantic road trips could be planned to maximize travel. If you look at an NHL team’s travel schedule, you can see it could be better organized so road teams can play all the teams in that region rather than flying back a month later.
YES – Where is the NHL going to expand in the next 50 years? Most of the teams in the southern United States are struggling financially and or on the ice. If it hasn’t worked in more than a decade, it seems unlikely that the southern US is ever going to be a hockey hot bed. Europe already has many hockey crazy countries, how much more can the league grow if the best players regularly played in Helsinki, Moscow and other cities?
NO – The rinks in Europe are not big enough to make the money needed to compete with NHL teams. European expansion won’t take place in one or two years. If / when it does it will be a 10 to 20 year process. In order to compete teams will need 15,000 – 18,000 seat rinks. Finding twelve cities in Europe that would build NHL size rinks may not be a difficult task if they were guaranteed a team down the road.
YES – It is already happening. For the last four years the NHL has begun its regular season with teams playing in Europe. As the 2010-2011 season begins in October, six NHL teams will be in Europe. Games will be played in Helsinki, Stockholm and Prague. The next step to NHL expansion in Europe could be some affiliation agreements between cities. Are there 30 European cities that are ready to adopt an NHL team as their own if they got five home games a year? I don’t think there are 30. However, are there 15 cities in Europe that would twin with the Eastern NHL teams (reducing some travel time)…that is a possibility.
By expanding the NHL presence from exhibition games, to early regular season games, the NHL is already begun to see what markets will work. Rene Fisel’s adamant declaration that the NHL won’t expand into Europe is part of the negotiation process which could last many years.
YES the NHL will expand into Europe – simply because sports fans want to see the best players all in one league. With the expansion of satellites and internet, distances don’t affect fans like they once did.
In August 2050, NHL will have a European division. As the young hockey fans in 2050 come across Fisel’s statement from August 2010, they will laugh at how people in “the old days” had no idea what the NHL would look like.
|